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Social security agency: central functions location analysis

Published: 19 Sep 2017

Report setting out evidence base for making a decision on where the social security agency’s centrally based functions will be located.

45 page PDF

1.5MB

45 page PDF

1.5MB

Contents
Social security agency: central functions location analysis
Annex B – Phase 2 analysis results

45 page PDF

1.5MB

Annex B – Phase 2 analysis results

Table B1 – Full hierarchy of OBC criteria, location factors, indicators and sub-indicators

Criterion

Indicator

Sub-indicator

Implement
ability & Risk

Ability to Recruit

25%

Access to labour force

20%

Population aged 16-64 in 2016*

2.2%

Working- age, economically active population*

2.2%

ILO Unemployment*

2.2%

Short-term unemployment level*

2.2%

Population density (per hectare)

6.7%

Employment in relevant occupations * **

2.2%

Employment in relevant sectors * **

2.2%

Skills and education

3%

% School Leaver in Positive Destinations

0.8%

% of 16-64 year olds with SCQF 5 or higher

2.3%

Skill shortages

2%

Vacancies: Have at least one vacancy

0.4%

Vacancies: Have at least one vacancy that is hard to fill

0.4%

Vacancies: Have a skills shortage vacancy

0.4%

Skills Gaps: Administrative/clerical staff

0.4%

Skills Gaps: Sales & customer services staff

0.4%

Economy & Environment

Inclusive Growth

25%

Contribution to economy

5%

GVA per worker

2.5%

GVA per working age person

2.5%

Recent performance

5%

Change in unemployment rate (2015 to 2016)

1.7%

Change in number of employees (2015 to 2016)

1.7%

GVA growth between 2004 and 2014

1.7%

Employment opportunities

5%

Employment Rate

1.0%

Works in home area

1.0%

Employment - workplace based as % of 16-64 popn

1.0%

Employment Expansion Demand in relevant occupations**

1.0%

Employment Projections (change between 2015 and 2024)

1.0%

Business creation

5%

Number of businesses (per 10,000 popn)

2.0%

Businesses with 100+ employees as % of all businesses

1.0%

Business Birth Rate (per 10,000 popn)

1.0%

Business Survival Rate (per 10,000 popn)

1.0%

Economic diversity

5%

% employed in relevant sectors***

2.0%

GVA in relevant sectors*** as % of total GVA

1.5%

Public Sector employees as % of total

1.5%

Equality & Poverty

Regeneration

25%

SIMD

15%

SIMD 20% most deprived

3.8%

SIMD 20% least deprived

3.8%

SIMD Income Domain

3.8%

SIMD Employment Domain

3.8%

Population Trends

10%

Total Population change 2005-15

5.0%

Net Migration 10 Year Total as % of population

5.0%

Dignity & Respect

Contribution to Local Delivery

25%

Total caseload

15%

DLA, PIP and AA caseload

10.0%

Carer's Allowance caseload

2.5%

Tax Credits caseload

2.5%

Claimant concentrations

10%

DLA, PIP and AA (% of total popn)

5.0%

Carer's Allowance (% of total popn)

2.5%

Tax Credits (% of total popn)

2.5%

* Admin, secretarial, sales & customer service occupations

** Business administration, business support, public admin & defence

*** Includes an adjustment to take into account people in neighbouring commutable Local Authorities (share of 10% is assigned based on information from Scottish Census 2011 on long distance travel to work)

Table B2 – Overall score (0 – 10) for all sub-indicators

Table B2 – Overall score (0 – 10) for all sub-indicators

* Admin, secretarial, sales & customer service occupations

** Business administration, business support, public admin & defence

*** Includes an adjustment to take into account people in neighbouring commutable Local Authorities (share of 10% is assigned based on information from Scottish Census 2011 on long distance travel to work)

Table B3 – Raw data for all sub-indicators

Glasgow City Dundee City North Lanarkshire Edinburgh, City of North Ayrshire Renfrewshire Inverclyde West Dunbartonshire South Lanarkshire Aberdeen City East Ayrshire Fife Falkirk Aberdeenshire West Lothian
Ability to Recruit Access to labour force within LA Population aged 16-64 in 2016*   520,980 135,330 314,020 424,890 139,760 191,960 101,320 129,340 267,090 182,840 116,160 286,110 220,880 182,820 205,940
Working- age, economically active population*   379,200 98,760 241,450 317,870 101,750 147,330 74,760 96,220 207,870 141,280 85,540 216,110 169,750 150,480 159,940
ILO Unemployment*   30,320 8,250 17,050 17,900 9,690 9,690 6,110 7,100 11,430 5,990 6,290 15,780 11,220 3,830 10,350
Short-term unemployment level*   7,500 1,827 4,047 3,850 2,265 2,740 1,972 1,983 3,282 2,488 1,826 3,349 2,309 1,817 2,230
Population density (per hectare)   34.0 24.6 7.2 18.1 1.6 6.7 5.1 5.7 1.8 12.0 1.0 2.8 5.2 0.4 4.1
Employment in relevant occupations * **   66,890 15,780 49,500 53,570 20,480 29,450 17,250 18,810 50,370 24,700 12,120 41,060 29,770 28,140 29,580
Employment in relevant sectors * **   94,760 14,170 36,070 57,900 12,790 24,740 11,960 14,830 26,590 25,940 13,420 25,580 25,570 11,250 25,560
Skills and education % School Leaver in Positive Destinations   89.6% 89.9% 91.5% 92.3% 91.8% 93.4% 91.3% 89.1% 90.9% 91.2% 90.7% 90.8% 92.7% 94.9% 91.6%
% of 16-64 year olds with SCQF 5 or higher   71.6% 72.5% 68.8% 84.1% 68.7% 76.8% 70.2% 66.6% 71.9% 80.9% 69.1% 76.5% 73.8% 81.7% 77.0%
Skill shortages Vacancies: Have at least one vacancy R 23.0% 16.0% 18.0% 22.0% 13.0% 21.0% 21.0% 21.0% 18.0% 17.0% 13.0% 20.0% 22.0% 17.0% 15.0%
Vacancies: Have at least one vacancy that is hard to fill R 9.0% 6.0% 8.0% 8.0% 5.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 5.0% 11.0% 10.0% 8.0% 6.0%
Vacancies: Have a skills shortage vacancy R 7.0% 5.0% 5.0% 6.0% 3.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 5.0% 5.0% 3.0% 9.0% 8.0% 5.0% 4.0%
Skills Gaps: Administrative/clerical staff R 3.9% 3.4% 5.0% 4.2% 5.6% 5.1% 5.1% 5.1% 5.0% 4.4% 5.6% 9.7% 5.2% 4.4% 3.8%
Skills Gaps: Sales & customer services staff R 8.6% 8.1% 5.0% 6.3% 7.1% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 5.0% 11.6% 7.1% 8.4% 5.7% 11.6% 4.3%
Inclusive Growth Contribution to the economy GVA per worker R £44,027 £43,208 £40,851 £48,721 £41,166 £43,345 £43,714 £37,369 £40,945 £55,397 £35,004 £41,746 £38,077 £42,153 £41,411
GVA per working age person R £46,415 £36,055 £27,119 £51,502 £21,938 £31,576 £27,775 £21,429 £26,273 £71,654 £21,098 £27,738 £26,754 £32,040 £30,085
Recent performance Change in unemployment rate (2015 to 2016)   -2.4 -1.8 -4.1 -1.3 -0.5 -0.8 -2.7 -1.4 0.3 3.3 0.0 -3.1 -1.9 3.0 -2.8
Change in number of employees (2015 to 2016) R 0.5% 0.0% -1.5% 0.6% 0.0% 13.3% 0.0% 3.3% 1.7% -5.7% 2.5% -0.7% -1.6% 0.9% -1.3%
GVA growth between 2004 and 2014 R 11.1% 5.7% 23.4% 8.5% -7.5% -2.7% -2.7% -0.6% 1.9% 56.0% -1.2% 9.9% -7.1% 54.3% -0.6%
Employment opportunities Employment Rate R 67.5% 66.4% 75.2% 71.7% 64.3% 75.3% 70.2% 71.1% 75.1% 70.3% 66.3% 72.3% 76.5% 78.1% 75.3%
Works in home area R 76.2% 84.5% 53.2% 86.4% 55.2% 52.4% 66.5% 46.7% 50.3% 90.5% 53.8% 76.2% 57.9% 56.8% 59.4%
Employment - workplace based as % of 16-64 popn R 105.8% 83.4% 51.0% 96.2% 51.9% 60.1% 60.4% 72.4% 54.0% 117.7% 58.9% 62.7% 63.5% 59.5% 64.8%
Employment Expansion Demand in relevant occupations** R 659 -331 -329 1,234 -342 -173 -157 -270 -391 243 -86 -406 -45 464 170
Employment Projections (change between 2015 and 2024) R 4.0% 0.4% 1.0% 6.2% -1.9% 0.8% -1.2% -3.4% -0.1% -1.2% -0.5% 0.5% 2.2% 2.1% 3.1%
Business creation Number of businesses (per 10,000 popn) R 274 217 203 346 231 247 202 189 267 399 252 245 229 540 238
Businesses with 100+ employees as % of all businesses R 1.6% 1.6% 1.1% 1.3% 0.6% 1.3% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 0.5% 1.3%
Business Birth Rate (per 10,000 popn) R 48 34 33 56 31 35 27 30 37 57 32 32 33 47 36
Business Survival Rate (per 10,000 popn) R 40 45 46 48 50 45 39 51 49 53 47 49 41 61 48
Economic diversity % employed in relevant sectors*** R 19.0% 11.5% 16.4% 13.7% 10.9% 14.8% 14.9% 14.6% 13.8% 12.3% 16.3% 13.2% 12.5% 8.3% 13.8%
GVA in relevant sectors*** as % of total GVA R 9.3% 10.6% 10.0% 7.7% 8.8% 5.1% 7.9% 12.1% 8.8% 10.0% 8.3% 12.6% 5.9% 7.0% 4.7%
Public Sector employees as % of total R 22.5% 30.3% 28.7% 23.4% 25.4% 19.8% 31.4% 36.1% 23.4% 17.0% 33.1% 25.3% 29.1% 15.9% 19.4%
Regeneration SIMD SIMD 20% most deprived   48.3% 36.7% 32.2% 13.7% 37.6% 27.1% 43.9% 39.7% 20.6% 7.8% 32.5% 19.2% 15.4% 1.8% 15.9%
SIMD 20% least deprived R 9.4% 15.4% 8.7% 41.9% 9.7% 19.1% 13.2% 4.1% 14.4% 39.9% 11.0% 21.1% 18.7% 35.6% 18.8%
SIMD Income Domain   20.0% 16.0% 15.0% 9.0% 17.0% 13.0% 17.0% 18.0% 13.0% 8.0% 16.0% 12.0% 12.0% 6.0% 12.0%
SIMD Employment Domain   16.0% 14.0% 14.0% 8.0% 15.0% 12.0% 15.0% 15.0% 12.0% 6.0% 14.0% 11.0% 11.0% 5.0% 10.0%
Population Trends Total Population change 2005-15 R 6.5% 3.2% 3.4% 11.0% -0.4% 1.8% -3.8% -2.1% 3.1% 10.4% 1.5% 3.6% 5.5% 10.3% 8.2%
Net Migration 10 Year Total as % of population R 3.9% 3.8% 0.3% 11.1% -0.1% 0.8% -3.5% -2.1% 3.0% 9.4% 1.0% 4.3% 5.1% 8.0% 3.6%
Proximity to Claimants Total caseload DLA, PIP and AA caseload   79,368 16,856 41,934 33,451 16,064 19,362 10,440 11,641 35,469 14,435 13,806 33,166 15,204 14,477 17,303
CA caseload   11,700 2,370 5,970 4,330 2,410 2,330 1,420 1,560 4,980 1,450 2,160 5,120 2,190 1,780 2,380
TCs caseload   50,200 10,800 24,800 23,900 10,500 11,800 6,000 7,100 20,100 8,700 8,800 23,700 9,600 8,700 12,000
Claimant concentrations DLA, PIP and AA (% of total popn)   13.1% 11.4% 12.4% 6.7% 11.8% 11.1% 13.1% 13.0% 11.2% 6.3% 11.3% 9.0% 9.6% 5.5% 9.7%
CA (% of total popn)   1.9% 1.6% 1.8% 0.9% 1.8% 1.3% 1.8% 1.7% 1.6% 0.6% 1.8% 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 1.3%
TCs (% of total popn)   8.3% 7.3% 7.3% 4.8% 7.7% 6.8% 7.5% 7.9% 6.4% 3.8% 7.2% 6.4% 6.1% 3.3% 6.7%

* Includes an adjustment to take into account people in neighbouring commutable Local Authorities (share of 10% is assigned based on information from Scottish Census 2011 on long distance travel to work)

** Admin, secretarial, sales & customer service occupations

*** Business administration, business support, public admin & defence

R – Reverse scoring. Higher value for these sub-indicators translate to lower scores for location suitability against criteria in Table B2


Contact

Email: Leila Akhoundova, leila.akhoundova@gov.scot

Phone: 0300 244 4000 – Central Enquiry Unit

The Scottish Government
St Andrew's House
Regent Road
Edinburgh
EH1 3DG