Publication - Strategy/plan
Scottish Climate Change Adaptation Programme (SCCAP)
Programme setting out Ministers objectives, policies and proposals to tackle the climate change impacts identified for Scotland.
Technical Annex
| UK CCRA Ref | UK CCRA Impact | Theme | Objective |
|---|---|---|---|
| AG1b | Changes in wheat and spring barley yield (due to warmer springs) | Natural Environment | N1 |
| AG1c | Changes in potato yield (due to combined climate effects and CO 2) | Natural Environment | N1 |
| AG1d | Changes in spring barley yield (due to warmer springs) | Natural Environment | N1 |
| AG1e | Changes in winter barley yield (due to wetter winters) | Natural Environment | N1 |
| AG2/FL4 | Flood risk to high quality agricultural land | Natural Environment | N2 |
| AG3 | Risk of crop pests and diseases | Natural Environment | N1, N2 N3 |
| AG4 | Drier soils (due to warmer and drier summer conditions) | Natural Environment | N1 N2 N3 |
| AG7a | Reduction in milk production due to heat stress | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| AG8a/b/AG15 | Livestock heat stress factors | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| AG10 | Changes in grassland productivity | Natural Environment | N1, N2 |
| AG17/AG59 | Increase in greenhouse gas emissions | Natural Environment | N1 |
| AG19 | Soil erosion and leaching | Natural Environment | N1 N2 N3 |
| AG21 | Waterlogging effects (annual) | Natural Environment | N1 N2 N3 |
| AG25/AG51/AG52 | Agricultural land classification and crop suitability | Natural Environment | N1 |
| AG26/AG27 | Biodiversity/wildlife changes | Natural Environment | N2 N3 |
| AG30/AG57/AG58 | Breeding habits/reproductive nature of species | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| AG44 | Livestock pests and diseases | Natural Environment | N1, N2 N3 |
| AG65 | Loss of particular landscapes and associated rural communities, previously managed by livestock keepers | Natural Environment | N3 |
| AG66 | Human food supply from domestic agriculture | Natural Environment Buildings and Infrastructure Networks | N1, N3 B3 |
| BD1 | Risk to species and habitats due to drier soils | Natural Environment | N2, N3 |
| BD2 | Risks to species and habitats due to coastal evolution | Natural Environment | N2, N3 |
| BD3 | Risk of pests to biodiversity | Natural Environment | N2, N3 |
| BD4 | Risks of diseases to biodiversity | Natural Environment | N2, N3 |
| BD5 | Species unable to track changing climate space | Natural Environment | N2, N3 |
| BD6 | Environmental effects of climate mitigation measures | Natural Environment | N1 |
| BD8 | Changes in soil organic carbon | Natural Environment | N1 |
| BD9 | Changes in species migration patterns | Natural Environment | N2, N3 |
| BD10 | Biodiversity risks due to warmer rivers and lakes | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| BD11 | Generalists species more able to adapt than specialists | Natural Environment | N2, N3 |
| BD12 | Wildfires due to warmer and drier conditions | Natural Environment | N3 |
| BD13 | Water quality and pollution risks | Natural Environment | N1 |
| BD14 | Ecosystems risks due to low flows and increased water demand | Natural Environment | N2, N3 |
| BD15 | Increased societal water demand | Buildings and Infrastructure Networks | B2 |
| BD20 | Major coastal flood/reconfiguration (includes coastal erosion) | Natural Environment | N1, N2 |
| BD21 | Agricultural intensification | Natural Environment | N1 |
| BD23 | Asynchrony between species breeding cycle and food supply | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| BD44 | Saline intrusion | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| BD46 | Loss of service through loss of keystone species | Natural Environment | N2, N3 |
| BE4/FL15 | Cultural heritage at flood/erosion risk | Buildings and Infrastructure Networks | B1, B2 |
| BE5 | Effectiveness of green space for cooling | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| BE9 | Reduction in energy demand for heating | Buildings and Infrastructure Networks | B1, B2 |
| BE10, BE11, BE12, BE15, BE18, FL6, FL24 | Property at significant risk of flooding | Society Buildings and Infrastructure Networks | S1, S3 B2 |
| BE13 | Rainwater penetration | Buildings and Infrastructure Networks | B1, B3 |
| BE31 | Increase in damp, mould and insect pests in buildings | Society Buildings and Infrastructure Networks | S2 B1, B3 |
| BE32 | Waterlogging | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| BU1 | Climate risks to investment funds | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| BU2 | Monetary losses due to tourist assets at risk from flooding | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| BU3 | Risk of restrictions in water abstraction for industry | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| BU4 | Risks of business disruption due to flooding | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| BU5 | Loss of productivity due to ICT disruption | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| BU6 | Mortgage provision threatened due to increased flood risk | Buildings and Infrastructure Networks | B3 |
| BU7 | Insurance industry exposure to UK flood risk | Society | |
| BU8 | An expansion of tourist destinations in Scotland | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| BU9 | A decrease in output for businesses due to supply chain disruption | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| BU29 | Loss of natural resource which attracts tourists leading to loss of revenue and requirements to shift assets | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| BUr1 | Impacts on angling, gaming or course fishing | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| BUr2 | Underestimation of decommissioning liabilities and end of life costs | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| EN1 | Energy infrastructure at significant risk of flooding | Buildings and Infrastructure Networks | B2, B3 |
| EN2 | Energy demand for cooling | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| EN4 | Risk of restrictions in water abstraction for energy generation | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| EN5 | Demand by water suppliers | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| EN6 | Electricity turbine efficiency | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| EN7 | Gas pipe compressor rating | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| EN8 | Power station cooling process | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| EN10 | Energy transmission efficiency capacity losses due to heat - over ground | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| ENr1 | Fuel poverty (people affected) | Society Buildings and Infrastructure Networks | S2 B3 |
| FL1 | Number of people at significant risk of flooding | Society | S2, S3 |
| FL2 | Vulnerable people at significant risk of flooding | Society | S2, S3 |
| FL8a | Roads at significant risk of flooding | Buildings and Infrastructure Networks | B1, B2, B3 |
| FL8b | Railways at significant risk of flooding | Buildings and Infrastructure Networks | B1, B2, B3 |
| FL11a/ENr2 | Power stations at significant risk of flooding | Buildings and Infrastructure Networks | B1, B2, B3 |
| FL11b | Sub-stations at significant risk of flooding | Buildings and Infrastructure Networks | B1, B2, B3 |
| FL13 | Ability to obtain flood insurance for residential properties | Society Buildings and Infrastructure Networks | S2 B3 |
| FL14a | Agricultural land lost due to coastal flooding | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| FL14b | Priority habitats lost due to coastal erosion | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| FL17 | Impacts of geomorphological changes | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| FL7/FL24/FL27 | Flooding of non-residential property | Buildings and Infrastructure Networks | B2, |
| FL41 | Snowmelt flooding (reduced attenuation) | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| FO1a | Forest extent affected by red band needle blight | Natural Environment | N2 |
| FO1b | Forest extent affected by green spruce aphid | Natural Environment | N2 |
| FO2 | Loss of forest productivity due to drought | Natural Environment | N3 |
| FO3 | Windthrow and storm damage | Natural Environment | N3 |
| FO4b | Increase of potential yield of Sitka spruce in Scotland | Natural Environment | N3 |
| FO5 | Biodiversity loss (forestry) | Natural Environment | N1, N2 |
| FO7/FO14 | Snow and frost damage | Natural Environment | N1 |
| FO20/FO26 | Winter hardening | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| HE1 | Summer mortality due to higher temperatures | Society | S1, S2 |
| HE2 | Summer morbidity due to higher temperatures | Society | S1, S2 |
| HE3 | Extreme weather event (flooding and storms) mortality | Society | S1, |
| HE5 | Decline in winter mortality due to higher temperatures | Society | S1, |
| HE6 | Decline in winter morbidity due to higher temperatures | Society | S1, |
| HE7 | Extreme weather event (flooding and storms) injuries | Society | S1, S2, S3 |
| HE10 | Effects of floods/storms on mental health | Society | S2 |
| HE11/HE17 | Increase in prevalence of certain vector-borne diseases (ticks and lymes) | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| HE15 | Food borne diseases | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| HE16/MA2b | Incidents of human illness due to hosts and pathogens | Society | S1, S2, S3 |
| HE19 | Increased algal or fungal/mould growth in buildings affecting respiratory conditions | Society Buildings and Infrastructure Networks | S2, S3 B3 |
| MA1 | Risk of harmful algal blooms due to changes in ocean stratification | Natural Environment | N2 |
| MA2a | Decline in marine water quality due to sewer overflows | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| MA3 | Increased ocean acidification | Natural Environment | N1 |
| MA4a | Changes in fish catch latitude/centre of gravity (cod/haddock) | Natural Environment | N3 |
| MA4b | Changes in fish catch latitude/centre of gravity (plaice/sole) | Natural Environment | N3 |
| MA5b | Opening of Arctic shipping routes due to ice melt | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| MA6 | Distribution of marine alien/invasive species | Natural Environment | N2 |
| MA23 | Plankton Blooms | Natural Environment | N2 |
| MA30 | Damage to cultured aquatic species | Natural Environment | N3 |
| MA39 | Physical effects of extreme events (flooding) on shallow marine habitats | Natural Environment | N1 |
| MAr1 | Species migration (marine) | Natural Environment | N2 |
| TR1 | Disruption to road traffic due to flooding | Buildings and Infrastructure Networks | B1, B2, B3 |
| TR2 | Landslide risks on the road network | Buildings and Infrastructure Networks | B1, B2, B3 |
| TR6 | Scouring of road and rail bridges | Buildings and Infrastructure Networks | B1, B2, B3 |
| TRr1 | Coastal erosion | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| WA1 | Warmer and drier conditions | Natural Environment | N2 |
| WA2 | Lower summer river flows (Q95) | Natural Environment | N1, N2 |
| WA4 | Changes in household water demand | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| WA5 | Public water supply-demand deficits | Natural Environment | N2 |
| WA9 | Raw water quality | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| WA10 | Combined sewer overflow spill frequency | Buildings and Infrastructure Networks | B1, B3 |
| WA13 | Changed recharge and groundwater levels | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| GNr1 | Emergency response to events (floods) | Society | S1, S3 |
| GNr2 | Emergency response to events (fires) | Natural Environment | N3 |
| GNr3 | Customer demands (opportunities) | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| GNr4 | Changes in global trading patterns | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| GNr5 | Impact of outdoor leisure, sport and tourism | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| GNr6 | Key workers unable to get to work due to extreme events or infrastructure failure | Buildings and Infrastructure Networks | B2 |
| GNr7 | Immigration to EU countries (including UK) and northwards migration within EU space; UK citizens living abroad may return to the UK, leading to increased demand for water, food, energy, health services etc. | Not being addressed in this programme | |
| GNr8 | Cost of international emergency aid | Not being addressed in this programme | |
NATURAL ENVIRONMENT
| OBJECTIVE | CCRA RISKS ADDRESSED BY OBJECTIVE | SUMMARY OF POLICIES AND PROPOSALS | CCRA RISKS TACKLED BY ACTION |
|---|---|---|---|
| N1 - Understand the effects resulting from climate change and their impacts on the natural environment | AG1b Changes in wheat and spring barley yield AG1c Changes in potato yield AG1d Changes in spring barley yield AG1e Changes in winter barley yield AG3 Risk of crop pests and diseases AG4 Drier soils (due to warmer and drier summer conditions) AG10 Changes in grassland productivity AG17/AG59 Increase in greenhouse gas emissions AG19 Soil erosion and leaching AG21 Waterlogging effects (annual) AG25/AG51/AG52 Agricultural land classification and crop suitability AG44 Livestock pests and diseases AG66 Human food supply from domestic agriculture BD6 Environmental effects of climate change mitigation measures BD8 Changes in soil organic carbon BD13 Water quality and pollution risks BD20 Major coastal flood/reconfiguration (includes coastal erosion) BD21 Agricultural intensification FO5 Biodiversity loss (forestry) FO7, FO14 Snow and frost damage MA3 Increased ocean acidification MA39 Physical effects of extreme events (flooding) on shallow marine habitats WA2 Lower summer river flows (Q95) |
N1-1 Raising awareness of implications of climate change for nature. | BD8 BD13 BD20 |
| N1-11 Continue to fund the Strategic Research Portfolio in Rural and Environmental Science to improve the evidence base on the likely impacts of climate change on Scottish agriculture and ensure effective knowledge transfer of research outputs. | AG1b/AG1c/AG1d/AG1e AG3 AG4 AG10 AG17/AG59 AG19 AG21 AG25/AG51/AG52 AG44 BD6 BD8 BD21 | ||
| N1-12 Deliver the current programme of research work on the effects of climate change on Scottish food security as well as supporting the work of the UK Global Food Security Programme. | AG66 | ||
| N1-14 Establishment of a co-ordinated Energy Sector Climate Change impacts research programme which would consider the impacts of changing energy generation on biodiversity and ecosystem services. | BD8 BD13 | ||
| N1-9 Supporting citizen science and voluntary environmental monitoring. | N/A | ||
| N1-2 Increase understanding of the implications of climate change for nature through data gathering, analysis and research. | BD8 BD13 BD20 | ||
| N1-3 Undertake spatial modelling, based around different scenarios, of potential risks to existing forests in order to evaluate the impacts that climate change could have on different forest types. | FO5 | ||
| N1-4 Improve understanding on how we can develop more resilient forests, identify adaptation strategies for all types of woodlands, and demonstrate these in forest settings. | FO5 FO7 | ||
| N1-5 Enhance collaborative research into tree pests and diseases to develop understanding of the etiology, pathology, epidemiology and management of pests/diseases in a changing climate. | FO5 FO7 | ||
| N1-10 Developing datasets to support flood risk, river and coastal management. | AG2/FL4 AG21 MA39 | ||
| N1-8 Understand the risks associated with coastal flooding through development and implementation of local flood risk plans. | AG2/FL4 AG21 MA39 | ||
| N1-6 Marine Scotland will use marine research strategies and monitoring programmes to gather data on the impact climate change is having on the seas. | MA3 | ||
| N1-7 Continue support for the Marine Climate Change Impacts Partnership ( MCCIP). | MA3 MA39 WA2 | ||
| N1-13 Manage and monitor changes to Scotland's transport infrastructure environment to detect impacts and changes on biodiversity and vegetation growing cycles. | N/A - risks directly related to changing weather patterns i.e. warmer/drier summers; warmer wetter winters creating longer growing seasons. |
| OBJECTIVE | CCRA RISKS ADDRESSED BY OBJECTIVE | SUMMARY OF POLICIES AND PROPOSALS | CCRA RISKS TACKLED BY ACTION |
|---|---|---|---|
| N2 - Support a healthy and diverse natural environment with the capacity to adapt | AG2/FL4 Flood risk to high quality agricultural land AG3 Risk of crop pests and diseases AG4 Drier soils AG10 Changes in grassland productivity AG19 Soil erosion and leaching AG21 Waterlogging effects (annual) AG26/AG27 Biodiversity/wildlife changes AG44 Livestock pests and diseases BD1 Risk to species and habitats due to drier soils BD2 Risks to species and habitats due to coastal evolution BD3 Risk of pests to biodiversity BD4 Risks of diseases to biodiversity BD5 Species unable to track changing climate space BD9 Changes in species migration patterns BD11 Generalists species more able to adapt than specialists BD14 Ecosystems risks due to low flows and increased water demand BD20 Major coastal flood/reconfiguration (includes coastal erosion) BD46 Loss of service through loss of keystone species FO1a Forest extent affected by red band needle blight FO1b Forest extent affected by green spruce aphid FO5 Biodiversity loss (forestry) MA1 Risk of harmful algal blooms due to changes in ocean stratification MA6 Distribution of marine alien/invasive species MA23 Plankton Blooms MAr1 Species migration (marine) WA1 Warmer and drier conditions WA2 Lower summer river flows (Q95) WA5 Public water supply-demand deficits |
N2-2 The Scottish Planning Policy includes green networks, green space, street trees and other vegetation, green roofs, wetlands and other water features, and coastal habitats in helping Scotland to mitigate and adapt to climate change. | BD1 BD3 BD4 BD5 |
| N2-3 Demonstrate adaptive management in National Nature Reserves to help explain the implications of climate change for nature and demonstrate management that takes account of these implications. | BD1 BD2 BD3 BD4 BD5 BD9 BD11 BD14 BD46 | ||
| N2-5 Pilot the use of the Scottish Natural Heritage Wildlife Management Framework to integrate climate change risks into wildlife management decisions (including deer). | BD1 BD3 BD4 BD5 BD46 | ||
| N2-4 Manage designated sites for land based biodiversity . | BD1 BD2 BD3 BD4 BD5 BD9 BD11 BD14 BD46 | ||
| N2-6 Develop the ecosystem approach into a usable set of tools for use by decision makers. | BD1 BD2 BD3 BD4 BD5 BD9 BD11 BD14 BD46 | ||
| N2-7 Reduce the pressure on ecosystems from invasive non-native species ( INNS). | BD3 BD4 BD9 | ||
| N2-8 Implement the Land Use Strategy ( LUS) and associated action plan. | BD1 BD2 BD3 BD4 BD5 BD9 BD11 BD14 BD46 | ||
| N2-9 Implement the Scottish Biodiversity Strategy. | BD1 BD2 BD3 BD4 BD5 BD9 BD11 BD14 BD46 | ||
| N2-1 Review objectives and priorities for action in Scotland's Wild Deer: a National Approach ( WDNA). | BD1 BD3 BD4 BD5 | ||
| N2-10 Promote the UK Forestry Standard and Climate Change guidelines. | FO1a FO1b FO5 | ||
| N2-11 Embed climate change adaptation considerations, and potential responses such as habitat networks and green networks, into wider land use planning decisions through the use of Forestry and Woodland Strategies, regional land use strategies, and Strategic and Local Development Plans and development master-plans. | FO1a FO1b FO5 | ||
| N2-12 Improve the condition and connectivity of native woodlands, promote natural regeneration as a means of increasing resilience to change, and take other steps to increase adaptive capacity in woodlands. | FO1a FO1b FO5 | ||
| N2-23 Encourage the consideration of climate change impacts (and how they will be addressed) in Forest Plans, and support this with grants and regulations so as to ensure that forest plans support ecosystems and habitat resilience and allow resilience-building measures to be trialled by forest managers. | FO1a FO1b FO5 | ||
| N2-13 The National Marine Plan ( NMP) will set out objectives and policies for sustainable development of Scotland's seas; promoting economic growth while ensuring growth occurs in balance with the protection of natural and historic heritage. | MA1 MA6 MA23 MAr1 | ||
| N2-14 Regional Marine Plans will be developed from 2014 and will shape regional/local objectives and policies for coastal and marine management and include policies relating to climate change adaptation (and mitigation). | MA1 MA6 MA23 MAr1 | ||
| N2-15 Manage designated sites for the marine environment. | MA1 MA6 MA23 MAr1 | ||
| N2-16 Develop mechanisms to minimise the introduction and establishment of invasive non-native species into Scottish waters. | MA6 MAr1 | ||
| N2-17 Implement River Basin Management Plans ( RBMP). | WA1 WA2 WA5 | ||
| N2-18 Support the development of Local Flood Risk Management Plans. | WA1 WA2 WA5 | ||
| N2-19 Improve the condition of river Special Areas of Conservation as part of River Basin Management Plans. | WA1 WA2 WA5 | ||
| N2-20 Assess and manage coasts, promoting adaptive coastal management that works with natural processes. | BD2 BD20 | ||
| N2-21 Promote the Farming For A Better Climate Programme. . | AG2/FL4 AG3 AG4 AG10 AG19 AG21 AG26/AG27 AG44 | ||
| N2-22 Support the project "Future Proofing Scotland's Farming". Scotland's Farming Innovation Network and Planning for Profit. | AG2/FL4 AG3 AG4 AG10 AG19 AG21 AG26/AG27 AG44 |
| OBJECTIVE | CCRA RISKS ADDRESSED BY OBJECTIVE | POLICIES AND PROPOSALS | CCRA RISKS TACKLED BY ACTION |
|---|---|---|---|
| N3 - Sustain and enhance the benefits, goods and services that the natural environment provides | AG3 Risk of crop pests and diseases |
N3-1 Implement the EU reform of the Common Agricultural Policy. | AG4 AG19 AG21 AG26/AG27 AG65 |
| N3-2 Support Scotland's Animal Health Regime to help prevent the introduction and spread of harmful organisms. | AG44 AG66 | ||
| N3-3 Support Scotland's Plant Health Service to help prevent the introduction and spread of harmful organisms. | AG3 AG66 | ||
| N3-16 Sourcing For Growth Initiative. A knowledge hub to match food manufacturing companies with producers of quality Scottish produce has been set up to build on the nation's growing gourmet reputation. | AG66 | ||
| N3-17 Greater recognition of the role of integrated land management in tackling climate change. | BD1 BD2 BD3 BD4 BD5 BD9 BD11 BD14 BD46 | ||
| N3-4 Promote the use of Ecological Site Classification, Forest GALES. | FO2 FO4b | ||
| N3-7 Publish resources for managers of productive forests to help them develop more resilient forests in a changing climate and in the face of tree health threats. | FO2 FO4b | ||
| N3-7 Promote tree health response contingency planning to enable rapid on-the-ground action to deal with new tree health threats and to enable targeted deployment of emergency measures. | FO2 FO4b | ||
| N3-10 Enhance operational capacity to enable earlier detection and subsequent management of tree pests and diseases. | FO2 FO4b | ||
| N3-5 Implement the Scottish Windthrow Contingency Plan to help minimise the financial impact of wind damage to commercial forests. | FO3 | ||
| N3-6 Support the Scottish Wildfire Forum to help ensure that land managers and the emergency services work together to prevent and manage wildfires. | BD12 | ||
| N3-9 Develop Operational Guidance for managing incidents of wildfire for fire and rescue service managers and personnel. | BD12 GNr2 | ||
| N3-11 Common Fisheries Policy ( CFP). Influence the EU reform of the CFP to ensure that it recognises the impacts of climate change and is flexible to environmental change. | MA4a MA4b | ||
| N3-12 Improve targeting of species by using selective fishing gear and reducing discards through conservation credits and TR2 schemes. | MA4a MA4b | ||
| N3-13 Manage the impacts of climate change to help fishing and aquaculture industries achieve Maximum Sustainable Yield ( MSY) by 2015, where possible, and by 2020 for all stocks at the latest. | MA4a MA4b MA30 | ||
| N3-14 Introduce new Technical Standards for containment by Scottish fish farms. | MA30 | ||
| N3-15 Fishing and aquaculture industries to develop and introduce new technologies for environmentally sustainable commercial fishing and aquaculture. | MA4a MA4b MA30 |
BUILDINGS AND INFRASTRUCTURE NETWORKS
| OBJECTIVE | CCRA RISKS ADDRESSED BY OBJECTIVE | SUMMARY OF POLICIES AND PROPOSALS | CCRA RISKS TACKLED BY ACTION |
|---|---|---|---|
| B1 - Understand the effects of climate change and their impacts on buildings and infrastructure networks | BE4/FL15 Cultural heritage at flood/erosion risk BE9 Reduction in energy demand for heating BE13 Rainwater penetration BE31 Increase in damp, mould and insect pests in buildings FL11a/ENr2 Power Stations at significant risk of flooding FL8a Roads at significant risk of flooding FL8b Railways at significant risk of flooding FL11b Sub-station at significant risk of flooding TR1 Disruption to road traffic due to flooding TR2 Landslide risks on the road network TR6 Scouring of road and rail bridges WA10 Combined sewer overflow spill frequency |
B1-1 Research to identify necessary resilience measures for new buildings. | BE31 BE13 BE9 |
| B1-2 Research to identify necessary resilience measures for existing buildings/heritage assets | BE31 BE13 BE9 BE4/FL15 | ||
| B1-4 Implement Secure and Resilient - A CNI Strategy for Scotland. | ENr2/FL11a FL11b | ||
| B1-16 Develop an Energy Sector Climate Change impacts research programme. | ENr2/FL11a FL11b | ||
| B1-5 Trunk Road Customer Care Survey, Passenger focus survey and National Household Survey. | N/A | ||
| B1-6 National Transport Strategy (2006) | TR1 TR2 TR6 FL8a FL8b | ||
| B1-11 Scottish Road Network Climate Change Study (2005). | TR1 TR6 FL8a | ||
| B1-8 Research under the Landslide Implementation Plan (2008). | TR2 | ||
| B1-9 Support the report on "Wetter weather, public transport and traffic/congestion patterns in urban areas". | TR1 FL8a FL8b | ||
| B1-10 Establish a central coordinating point for information and data collection relating to climate effects on the transport network and for developing knowledge sharing activities for this sector. | TR1 TR2 TR6 FL8a FL8b | ||
| B1-7 A report on risks from fog projections. | N/A | ||
| B1-12 Engagement with World Road Association and UK and European Road/Transport Authorities. | TR1 TR2 TR6 FL8a | ||
| B1-17 Assessment of potential sea level rise risk at specific Scottish ports. | N/A | ||
| B1-18 Tomorrow Railways and Climate Change Adaptation ( TRACCA). | TR6 FL8b | ||
| B1-19 To consider a long-term approach to the management of surface water to ensure that sewer systems are resilient to climate change. | WA10 | ||
| B1-13 Flood Risk Management Plans. | WA10 | ||
| B1-14 River Basin Management Plans ( RBMP) | WA10 | ||
| B1-15 Study of impact of flows on sewerage network. | WA10 | ||
| B1-3 Research to assess the benefits or property level flood protection products. | BE4/FL15 |
| OBJECTIVE | CCRA RISKS ADDRESSED BY OBJECTIVE | SUMMARY OF POLICIES AND PROPOSALS | CCRA RISKS TACKLED BY ACTION |
|---|---|---|---|
| B2 - Provide the knowledge, skills and tools to manage climate change impacts on buildings and infrastructure | BD15 Increased societal water demand BE4/FL15 Cultural heritage at flood/erosion risk BE9 Reduction in energy demand for heating BE10, BE11, BE12, BE15, BE18, FL6, FL24 Property at significant risk of flooding EN1 Energy infrastructure at significant risk of flooding FL11a /ENr2 Power stations at significant risk of flooding FL8a Roads at significant risk of flooding FL8b Railways at significant risk of flooding FL7/24/27 Flooding of non-residential property FL11b Sub-stations at significant risk of flooding GNr6 Key workers unable to get to work due to extreme events of infrastructure failure TR1 Disruption to road traffic due to flooding TR2 Landslide risks on the road network TR6 Scouring of road and rail bridges |
B2-1 Policy to introduce under the building regulations a new requirement to extend non-domestic sustainability labelling to school buildings. | BE9 BE10, BE11, BE12, BE15, BE18, FL6, FL24 FL7/24/27 |
| B2-4 Implement Historic Scotland's Climate Change Action Plan (2012-2017). | BE4/FL15 | ||
| B2-3 Water Use Efficiency. | BE9 | ||
| B2-2 Sustainable Urban Drainage Systems ( SUDS) Working Party. | BE10, BE11, BE12, BE15, BE18, FL6, FL24 | ||
| B2-5 Joint agency climate action programme. | BE4/FL15 BE10, BE11, BE12, BE15, BE18, FL6, FL24 | ||
| B2-19 The drafting of regulations to implement Section 63 of the Climate Change (Scotland) Act 2009. | BE9 | ||
| B2-20 To extend the requirement for sustainability labelling beyond schools to other non-domestic buildings. | BE9 BE10, BE11, BE12, BE15, BE18, FL6, FL24, FL7/24/27 | ||
| B2-6 Liaise with industry on thermal generation (generation of electricity from sources that create heat, such as coal, gas and nuclear). | EN1 | ||
| B2-21 Establish a Scottish Government Energy Sector Flood Risk work stream. | EN1 ENr2/FL11a FL11b | ||
| B2-8 Transport Scotland Asset Management Strategy. | GNr6 TR1 TR2 TR6 FL8a FL8b | ||
| B2-9 High Winds Strategy (2009). Strategy for managing the impacts of high winds on the trunk road network. | GNr6 | ||
| B2-10 Third and Fourth Generation road maintenance contracts. | GNr6 TR1 TR2 TR6 FL8a | ||
| B2-11 Implement the Scottish Integrated Maritime Transport Strategy. | FL8a FL8b GNr6 TR1 | ||
| B2-12 Road Scotland Act (1984): Asset Management Plans and Network Rail Asset Management Policy. | TR6 | ||
| B2-13 Road Scotland Act (1984): Implement Resilience Plans. | GNr6 TR1 TR2 TR6 FL8a | ||
| B2-14 Local Forest Management Strategies to Tackle Slope Instability. | TR2 | ||
| B2-15 High level output specification for railways; related to the public performance measures to consider "severe disruption". | TR6 FL8b | ||
| B2-22 Network Rail Strategic Business Plan. | TR6 FL8b | ||
| B2-16 Gather data to inform Scottish Water's investment programme from 2015 onwards which will address adaptation needs of water infrastructure. | BD15 | ||
| B2-17 Integrated approach to catchment modelling. | BD15 | ||
| B2-18 Manage leakage to water distribution network. | BD15 |
| OBJECTIVE | CCRA RISKS ADDRESSED BY OBJECTIVE | SUMMARY OF POLICIES AND PROPOSALS | CCRA RISKS TACKLED BY ACTION |
|---|---|---|---|
| B3 - Increase the resilience of buildings and infrastructure networks to sustain and enhance the benefits and services provided | AG66 Human food supply from domestic agriculture BE13 Rainwater penetration BE31 Increase in damp, mould and insect pests in buildings BU6 Mortgage provision threatened due to increased flood risk EN1 Energy infrastructure at significant risk of flooding ENr1 Fuel poverty (people affected) FL11a /ENr2 Power stations at significant risk of flooding FL8a Roads at significant risk of flooding FL8b Railways at significant risk of flooding FL11b Sub-stations at significant risk of flooding FL13 Ability to obtain flood insurance for residential properties HE19 Increased algal or fungal/mould growth in buildings affecting respiratory conditions TR1 Disruption to road traffic due to flooding TR2 Landslide risks on the road network TR6 Scouring of road and rail bridges WA10 Combined sewer overflow spill frequency |
B3-1 Building Regulations Guidance. | BE13 BE31 |
| B3-2 Planning Advice Notes ( PAN). | BE13 BE31 | ||
| B3-3 Scottish Planning Policy ( SPP) (Climate Change). | BE13 BE31 | ||
| B3-4 Raise awareness and provide access to knowledge via Sust: Sustainability in Architecture programme. | BE13 BE31 | ||
| B3-5 Commission and promote demonstration projects in association with funders/developers about the benefits of incorporating sustainable design in their projects. | BE13 BE31 | ||
| B3-6 Home Energy Efficiency Programme for Scotland. | ENr1 | ||
| B3-7 The Energy Efficiency Standard for Social Housing. | ENr1 | ||
| B3-8 Improve Housing Quality by ensuring all houses meet the tolerable standard, and that all social housing meets the Scottish Housing Quality Standard ( SHQS) by 2015. | ENr1 BE31 HE19 | ||
| B3-9 Develop draft regulations for consultation by 2015 which would set minimum standards for energy efficiency in private sector housing, likely to be under section 64 of the Climate Change (Scotland) Act 2009. | ENr1 | ||
| B3-10 Promote Keeping Scotland Running - A Guide to Critical Infrastructure Resilience. | EN1 ENr2/FL11a FL11b | ||
| B3-11 Civil Contingencies Act (2004): Transport resilience community engagement. | TR1 TR2 TR6 FL8a FL8b | ||
| B3-15 High Level Output Specification and Scottish Ministers' Guidance to the Office of Rail Regulation. | TR6, FL8b | ||
| B3-13 Improving driver skills in extreme weather (road and rail). | FL8a FL8b | ||
| B3-16 Introduce new guidance on good public transport interchange design to cope with more extreme weather. | N/A | ||
| B3-14 Market Driven Supply Chain. | AG66 | ||
| B3-13 River Basin Management Plans ( RBMP). | WA10 |
SOCIETY
| OBJECTIVE | CCRA RISKS ADDRESSED BY OBJECTIVE | SUMMARY OF POLICIES AND PROPOSALS | CCRA RISKS TACKLED BY ACTION |
|---|---|---|---|
| S1 - Understand the effects of climate change and their impacts on people, homes and communities | BE10, BE11, BE12, BE15, BE18, FL6, FL24 Property at risk of flooding GNr1 Emergency response to events (floods) HE1 Summer mortality due to higher temperatures HE2 Summer morbidity due to higher temperatures HE3 Extreme weather event (flooding and storms) mortality HE5 Decline in winter mortality due to higher temperatures HE6 Decline in winter morbidity due to higher temperatures HE7 Extreme weather events (flooding and storms) injuries HE16/MA2b Incidents of human illness due to hosts and pathogens |
S1-2 Research to identify and develop an understanding of communities, in particular, vulnerable groups to the flood risk impacts brought by climate change. | HE7 BE10, BE11, BE12, BE15, BE18, FL6, FL24 |
| S1-3 Build on the Health Protection Scotland Scoping Report on the effect of extreme weather events on public health to identify priority areas for action. | HE7 | ||
| S1-4 Assessment of new, emerging or re-emerging disease epidemiology and research. | HE16/MA2b | ||
| S1-1 The Food Standards Agency ( FSA) to continue to develop a greater understanding of the main food borne disease related pathogens. | HE16/MA2b | ||
| S1-7 Extreme Weather Event ( EWE) All Hazard Health Protection Plan. | GNr1 HE1 HE2 HE3 HE5 HE6 HE7 | ||
| S1-5 Undertake research to strengthen the resilience evidence base for risk assessment and planning purposes as well as partner and stakeholder engagement. | GNr1 | ||
| S1-6 Research to inform decision making about future resource allocation and 'spend to save' options - research should assess possible future economic impact on the Emergency and Rescue Services of climate change adaptation against current expenditure patterns. | GNr1 |
| OBJECTIVE | CCRA RISKS ADDRESSED BY OBJECTIVE | SUMMARY OF POLICIES AND PROPOSALS | CCRA RISKS TACKLED BY ACTION |
|---|---|---|---|
| S2 - Increase the awareness of the impacts of climate change to enable people to adapt to future extreme weather events | BE10, BE11, BE12, BE15, BE18, FL6, FL24 Property at significant risk of flooding BE31 Increase in damp, mould and insect pests in buildings ENr1 Fuel poverty (people affected) FL1 Number of people at significant risk of flooding FL2 Vulnerable people at significant risk of flooding FL13 Ability to obtain flood insurance for residential properties HE1 Summer mortality due to higher temperatures HE2 Summer morbidity due to higher temperatures HE7 Extreme weather events (flooding & storms) injuries HE10 Effects of flood/storms on mental health HE19 Increased algal or fungal/mould growth in buildings affecting respiratory conditions HE16/MA2b Incidents of human illness due to hosts and pathogens |
B3-1 Building Regulations Guidance. | ENr1 BE31 HE19 |
| S2-1 Eradicate fuel poverty by 2016 as far as practicable. | ENr1 | ||
| S2-2 Scottish Government to continue to raise awareness and provide information to society on how best to adapt to a changing climate. | BE10, BE11, BE12, BE15, BE18, FL6, FL24 HE7 FL1 FL2 | ||
| S2-3 The Food Standards Agency ( FSA) to improve the understanding of food safety related behaviour by consumers and targeted education to assist in greater consumer knowledge and understanding of risks in the domestic sector. | HE16/MA2b | ||
| S2-14 Improve public information and access to guidance on heat waves. | HE1 HE2 | ||
| S2-5 Develop and promote resources which support capacity building in communities, to help build resilience to emergencies, including responding to severe weather events. | FL1 FL2 BE10, BE11, BE12, BE15, BE18, FL6, FL24 HE7 | ||
| S2-4 Develop psychosocial disaster recovery guidance to support a better response to people who have experienced trauma. | HE10 | ||
| S2-7 Undertake all risk resilience assessments across each of the National Infrastructure (NI) sectors, including the impacts of climate change. | BE10, BE11, BE12, BE15, BE18, FL6, FL24 HE7 | ||
| S2-6 Continue to develop the Ready Scotland website as a source of advice and information for the public about preparing for and managing the potential consequences of emergencies, including severe weather events. | FL1 FL2 BE10, BE11, BE12, BE15, BE18, FL6, FL24 HE7 | ||
| S2-15 Emergency and Rescue Services to consider opportunities for raising public awareness around flooding risks and protective activity. | FL1 FL2 BE10, BE11, BE12, BE15, BE18, FL6, FL24 HE7 | ||
| S2-8 Promote and support SEPA flood risk awareness raising activities. | FL1 FL2 BE10, BE11, BE12, BE15, BE18, FL6, FL24 FL13 | ||
| S2-9 Deliver Flood Warning Dissemination Programme to enable Floodline messages to be delivered direct to all registered users. | FL1 FL2 BE10, BE11, BE12, BE15, BE18, FL6, FL24 | ||
| S2-10 Increase awareness of flood risk and flood resilience in schools by working through the Curriculum for Excellence. | FL1 FL2 | ||
| S2-11 Ready For Emergencies resilience resource for schools. | FL1 FL2 | ||
| S2-12 Improve education on flood risk management to increase awareness and understanding of the importance of community resilience. | FL1 FL2 | ||
| S2-13 Support the Scottish Flood Forum. | BE10, BE11, BE12, BE15, BE18, FL6, FL24 FL1 FL2 |
| OBJECTIVE | CCRA RISKS ADDRESSED BY OBJECTIVE | SUMMARY OF POLICIES AND PROPOSALS | CCRA RISKS TACKLED BY ACTION |
|---|---|---|---|
| S3 - Support our health service and emergency responders to enable them to respond effectively to the increased pressures associated with a changing climate | BE10, BE11, BE12, BE15, BE18, FL6, FL24 Property at significant risk of flooding FL1 Number of people at significant risk of flooding FL2 Vulnerable people at significant risk of flooding GNr1 Emergency response to events (floods) HE7 Extreme weather events (flooding and storms) injuries HE16/MA2b Incidents of human illness due to hosts and pathogens HE19 Increased algal or fungal/mould growth in buildings affecting respiratory conditions |
S3-2 Scotland Property and Asset Management Plans. | BE10, BE11, BE12, BE15, BE18, FL6, FL24 |
| S3-4 NHS Procurement and Estates to consider accommodation design for housing IT equipment. | BE10, BE11, BE12, BE15, BE18, FL6, FL24 | ||
| S3-1 NHS Scotland Boards to develop individual Climate Change Adaptation Plans in accordance with the NHS Scotland Sustainable Development Strategy. | BE10, BE11, BE12, BE15, BE18, FL6, FL24 GNr1 | ||
| S3-5 Revise Scottish Capital Investment Manual to take account of changes in sustainable development policy and strategy. | BE10, BE11, BE12, BE15, BE18, FL6, FL24 GNr1 | ||
| S3-15 Need to consider chronic diseases where a changing climate could add extra stresses e.g. warmer weather could worsen air quality (exacerbates effects of air pollution) and increased problems for asthma sufferers. | HE16/MA2b | ||
| S3-3 VTEC/E.Coli 0157 Action Plan. | HE16/MA2b | ||
| S3-14 Take forward appropriate 'Good Places Better Health for Scotland's Children' recommendations. | HE19 | ||
| S3-13 Support a Scottish flood forecasting service. | HE7 BE10, BE11, BE12, BE15, BE18, FL6, FL24 FL1 FL2 | ||
| S3-11 Promote and support the production of 'Lessons Learned' from agency debriefs on weather related events and action the lessons through changes to policy, processes and training. | GNr1 | ||
| S3-6 Improve Strategic Coordinating Groups ( SCGs) risk and impacts assessment guidance. | GNr1 | ||
| S3-9 Preparing Scotland suite of guidance. | GNr1 | ||
| S3-7 To enhance the capability of Scotland's Fire and Rescue services. | GNr1 | ||
| S3-10 Develop and extend training of accredited 'incident commanders'. | GNr1 | ||
| S3-12 Delivery of a wide programme of specialist and technical training. | GNr1 | ||
| S3-8 Continue to assess the potential impacts of environment factors on the delivery of police services through the Scottish Police Service Strategic Assessment. | GNr1 |
| IMPACTS NOT BEING ADDRESSED IN THIS PROGRAMME | |
|---|---|
| RISK | REASON FOR EXCLUSION |
| AG7a Reduction in milk production due to heat stress | Low risk for Scotland - defer to future Programmes. |
| AG8a/b/AG15 Livestock heat stress factors | Low risk for Scotland - defer to future Programmes. |
| AG30/AG57/AG58 Breeding habits/reproductive nature of species | Low risk for Scotland - defer to future Programmes. |
| BD10 Biodiversity risks due to warmer rivers and lakes | This is a prediction rather than a risk. |
| BD23 Asynchrony between species breeding cycle and food supply | Too uncertain - await second UKCCRA to establish if evidence base has improved. |
| BD44 Saline Intrusion | Too uncertain - await second UKCCRA to establish if evidence base has improved. |
| BE5 Effectiveness of green space for cooling | Low risk (2050s), low confidence - too uncertain - await second UKCCRA to establish if evidence base has improved. |
| BE32 Waterlogging | Too uncertain - await second UKCCRA to establish if evidence base has improved. |
| BU1 Climate risks to investment funds | Too uncertain - await second UKCCRA to establish if evidence base has improved. |
| BU2 Monetary losses due to tourist assets at risk from flooding | Too uncertain - await second UKCCRA to establish if evidence base has improved. |
| BU3 Risk of restrictions in water abstraction for industry | Low risk (2020s), low confidence - too uncertain - await second UKCCRA to establish if evidence base has improved. |
| BU4 Risk of business disruption due to flooding | Low risk (2020s), - await second UKCCRA to establish if evidence base has improved. |
| BU5 Loss of productivity due to ICT disruption | Too uncertain - await second UKCCRA to establish if evidence base has improved. |
| BU8 An expansion of tourist destinations in Scotland | This is a prediction rather than a risk. |
| BU9 A decrease in output for businesses due to supply chain disruption | Too uncertain - await second UKCCRA to establish if evidence base has improved. |
| BU29 Loss of natural resource which attracts tourists leading to loss of revenue and requirements to shift assets | Low risk (2020s), low confidence - too uncertain - await second UKCCRA to establish if evidence base has improved. |
| BUr1 Impacts on angling, gaming or course fishing | Low risk until 2080s - defer to future Programmes. |
| BUr2 Underestimation of decommissioning liabilities and end of life costs | Too uncertain - await second UKCCRA to establish if evidence base has improved. |
| EN2 Energy demand for cooling | Low risk until 2050s- defer to future Programmes. |
| EN4 Risk of restrictions in water abstraction for energy generation | Low risk until 2080s. |
| EN5 Demand by water suppliers | Low risk for Scotland - defer to future Programmes. |
| EN6 Electricity turbine efficiency | Too uncertain - await second UKCCRA to establish if evidence base has improved. |
| EN7 Gas pipe compressor rating | Too uncertain - await second UKCCRA to establish if evidence base has improved. |
| EN8 Power station cooling process | Too uncertain - await second UKCCRA to establish if evidence base has improved. |
| EN10 Energy transmission efficiency capacity losses due to heat - over ground | Low risk until 2080s - defer to future Programmes. |
| FL14a Agricultural land lost due to coastal flooding | Low risk - although may present local issues. |
| FL14b Priority habitats lost due to coastal erosion | Low risk - approximately 70% of Scotland's coastline is classified as hard. |
| FL17 Impacts of geomorphological changes | Too uncertain - await second UKCCRA to establish if evidence base has improved. |
| FL41 Snowmelt flooding | No permanent snow caps in Scotland therefore no impact on water levels. |
| FO20/FO26 Winter hardening | Low risk, low confidence - await second UKCCRA to establish if evidence base has improved. |
| HE11/HE17 Increase in prevalence of certain vector-borne diseases (ticks and lymes) | Overall low risk, may present local issues due to changes in ecosystems. |
| HE15 Food borne diseases | Too uncertain - await second UKCCRA to establish if evidence base has improved. |
| MA2a Decline in marine water quality due to sewer overflows | This is a prediction rather than a risk. |
| MA5b Opening of the arctic shipping routes due to ice melt | To be considered for future Programmes. |
| TRr1 Coastal erosion | Low risk for Scotland, although may present local issues. |
| WA4 Changes in household water demand | Not expected to be a major risk to Scotland - defer to future Programmes. |
| WA9 Raw water quality | Science base limited, await second UKCCRA to establish if evidence base has improved. |
| WA13 Changed recharge and groundwater levels | Not a current risk for Scotland - defer to future Programmes. |
| GNr3 Customer demands (opportunities) | Too uncertain - await second UKCCRA to establish if evidence base has improved. |
| GNr4 Changes in global trading patterns | Too uncertain - await second UKCCRA to establish if evidence base has improved. |
| GNr5 Impact of outdoor leisure, sport and tourism | Not a current risk for Scotland - defer to future Programmes. |
| GNr7 Immigration to EU countries (including UK) and northwards migration within EU space: UK citizens living abroad may return to the UK, leading to increased demand for water, food, energy, health services etc. | Too uncertain - await second UKCCRA to establish if evidence base has improved. |
| GNr8 Cost of international emergency aid | Too uncertain - await second UKCCRA to establish if evidence base has improved. |
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