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Publication - Research Publication

Estimated and projected diagnosis rates for dementia in Scotland 2014-2020

Published: 13 Dec 2016
Part of:
Health and social care
ISBN:
9781786526830

A first report into estimated and projected dementia diagnosis rates in Scotland from 2014 to 2020, based on data from health boards in Scotland.

21 page PDF

467.5kB

21 page PDF

467.5kB

Contents
Estimated and projected diagnosis rates for dementia in Scotland 2014-2020
Appendix 1 - Estimated and Projected Incidence of the Diagnosis of Dementia by NHS Board 2014 to 2020

21 page PDF

467.5kB

Appendix 1 - Estimated and Projected Incidence of the Diagnosis of Dementia by NHS Board 2014 to 2020

2014 Estimated Number of individuals Diagnosed
Total Under 60 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+
Scotland 16,712 268 343 878 1,742 3,198 4,336 3,699 2,246
Ayrshire & Arran 1,138 19 22 52 122 214 301 251 157
Borders 446 5 9 24 48 86 114 100 60
Dumfries & Galloway 615 7 12 32 66 118 163 136 81
Fife 1,192 18 25 67 129 229 301 263 161
Forth Valley 904 15 19 51 100 184 230 191 114
Grampian 1,716 30 37 93 175 319 440 389 234
Greater Glasgow & Clyde 3,389 59 67 191 361 673 877 734 427
Highland 1,165 15 24 64 128 221 298 254 161
Lanarkshire 1,984 32 46 94 201 385 544 429 253
Lothian 2,399 45 49 123 238 443 616 544 342
Orkney 79 1 2 4 9 15 19 17 11
Shetland 71 1 2 4 8 13 17 16 10
Tayside 1,501 20 28 74 146 278 389 348 219
Western Isles 115 1 2 6 12 21 28 28 18

Notes:

1. Actual numbers submitted were used for NHS Ayrshire & Arran, NHS Greater Glasgow & Clyde and NHS Lanarkshire

2. Source: Local date collection from; NHS Ayrshire& Arran, NHS Greater Glasgow & Clyde & NHS Lanarkshire, combined with SMR01, SMR04 and SMR50.

2015 Estimated Number of individuals Diagnosed
Total Under 60 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+
Scotland 17,097 268 344 899 1,766 3,228 4,430 3,812 2,349
Ayrshire & Arran 1,352 18 27 73 148 260 353 290 184
Borders 456 5 9 25 48 88 115 102 63
Dumfries & Galloway 631 7 12 32 67 121 165 142 85
Fife 1,220 18 24 68 133 232 307 272 166
Forth Valley 930 15 19 52 102 186 238 198 120
Grampian 1,757 30 37 96 176 324 451 396 249
Greater Glasgow & Clyde 3,375 59 67 165 331 631 901 760 460
Highland 1,199 15 24 65 130 226 305 263 169
Lanarkshire 1,919 33 43 106 211 383 506 411 226
Lothian 2,452 45 49 127 243 445 626 560 357
Orkney 82 1 2 4 9 16 19 18 12
Shetland 73 1 2 4 8 14 18 16 11
Tayside 1,534 20 27 76 148 280 397 356 230
Western Isles 118 1 2 6 11 21 29 27 19
2016 Estimated and Projected Number of individuals Diagnosed
Total Under 60 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+
Scotland 17,496 268 348 911 1,818 3,223 4,516 3,945 2,466
Ayrshire & Arran 1,386 18 27 73 152 262 360 301 194
Borders 467 5 9 25 50 89 117 105 66
Dumfries & Galloway 648 7 12 32 69 121 171 147 89
Fife 1,250 18 25 69 138 231 318 276 175
Forth Valley 955 15 19 53 105 187 247 204 124
Grampian 1,798 30 38 97 183 323 459 409 260
Greater Glasgow & Clyde 3,429 59 69 168 335 623 909 786 480
Highland 1,232 15 25 66 135 228 312 274 177
Lanarkshire 1,972 33 43 107 216 383 521 429 239
Lothian 2,512 45 50 129 251 445 635 581 375
Orkney 84 1 2 4 10 17 19 19 13
Shetland 75 1 2 4 9 14 18 16 11
Tayside 1,567 20 27 76 153 278 400 371 242
Western Isles 120 1 2 6 12 22 30 27 19
2017 Projected Number of individuals Diagnosed
Total Under 60 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+
Scotland 17,994 268 356 875 1,972 3,254 4,590 4,106 2,572
Ayrshire & Arran 1,430 17 27 70 165 266 367 318 200
Borders 480 5 9 24 56 90 121 108 68
Dumfries & Galloway 668 7 12 31 74 124 175 152 95
Fife 1,289 18 25 65 152 235 329 282 183
Forth Valley 989 15 20 51 115 188 257 215 129
Grampian 1,853 30 38 93 201 330 464 424 272
Greater Glasgow & Clyde 3,498 59 71 162 360 615 912 824 494
Highland 1,273 15 25 64 145 235 317 287 186
Lanarkshire 2,034 33 44 104 232 387 533 449 252
Lothian 2,581 46 51 124 275 451 641 598 395
Orkney 88 1 2 4 10 18 20 19 13
Shetland 78 1 2 4 9 15 19 17 12
Tayside 1,610 20 28 72 167 280 405 384 254
Western Isles 123 1 2 6 13 22 31 28 20
2018 Projected Number of individuals Diagnosed
Total Under 60 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+
Scotland 18,489 268 364 861 2,058 3,322 4,708 4,232 2,675
Ayrshire & Arran 1,475 17 28 69 171 273 376 333 208
Borders 495 5 9 23 58 93 125 111 70
Dumfries & Galloway 687 7 12 30 76 128 176 159 99
Fife 1,327 18 26 63 159 244 337 291 189
Forth Valley 1,022 15 20 50 120 193 266 223 134
Grampian 1,905 30 39 92 212 337 475 436 284
Greater Glasgow & Clyde 3,566 59 74 161 373 616 926 846 511
Highland 1,314 15 25 63 152 244 327 297 193
Lanarkshire 2,100 33 45 103 241 395 547 472 263
Lothian 2,651 46 53 122 289 458 662 611 410
Orkney 91 1 2 4 10 18 22 19 14
Shetland 81 1 2 4 9 16 20 16 13
Tayside 1,649 20 28 71 176 285 416 388 265
Western Isles 126 1 2 6 13 22 31 29 21
2019 Projected Number of individuals Diagnosed
Total Under 60 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+
Scotland 18,989 268 372 857 2,117 3,403 4,807 4,356 2,809
Ayrshire & Arran 1,516 17 28 68 174 283 384 345 216
Borders 511 5 9 23 60 95 131 114 74
Dumfries & Galloway 706 7 12 30 78 132 179 165 105
Fife 1,367 18 26 62 163 254 346 301 196
Forth Valley 1,055 15 21 49 123 198 277 230 142
Grampian 1,958 30 39 91 222 343 484 449 299
Greater Glasgow & Clyde 3,636 59 76 161 382 622 936 865 535
Highland 1,358 15 25 62 156 253 337 305 205
Lanarkshire 2,163 32 46 104 247 405 559 488 282
Lothian 2,722 46 54 122 299 471 674 628 428
Orkney 95 1 2 4 10 19 23 20 15
Shetland 84 1 2 4 10 17 20 17 13
Tayside 1,689 20 29 70 181 289 423 399 277
Western Isles 130 1 2 6 14 22 32 30 23
2020 Projected Number of individuals Diagnosed
Total Under 60 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+
Scotland 19,473 267 381 861 2,170 3,460 4,876 4,503 2,954
Ayrshire & Arran 1,558 17 29 68 177 289 393 359 227
Borders 525 5 10 23 61 97 135 117 77
Dumfries & Galloway 725 6 12 30 78 134 184 169 111
Fife 1,405 18 27 62 166 262 353 311 206
Forth Valley 1,087 15 21 49 127 203 282 241 150
Grampian 2,009 30 40 92 230 346 494 464 312
Greater Glasgow & Clyde 3,703 58 78 164 390 627 928 894 562
Highland 1,399 15 26 62 159 258 347 316 216
Lanarkshire 2,222 32 47 105 253 409 572 504 299
Lothian 2,790 46 56 123 308 482 681 645 449
Orkney 99 1 2 4 10 19 26 21 16
Shetland 87 1 2 4 10 17 21 19 14
Tayside 1,730 20 30 69 185 294 429 412 291
Western Isles 133 1 2 5 14 22 33 31 23

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